Another example “melancholic personality” – 2 searches a day only according to Wordtracker. I am on the first page of search results in Google. from 1st to 7th of July I had 7 visitors exactly, that is one visitor a day for this precise keyword. I sure receive a lot of people for long tail of keywords that includes this word combo.

So, despite the numbers are much less, your formula still works for me too .

My point is that predict value isn’t necessarily high in every situation.

For every example that shows that Wordtracker over estimated the predict number, there would also be an example of Wordtracker grosly underestemating the predict value.

It’s been my experience that there is really no dependable indicator of whether the predict number is low or comparitavely high.

This is the main reason why our office uses Trellian, Wordtracker and the Google Keyword Tool. You’re not going to get an accurate predict number or KEI value but you are going to understand how certain terms compare to each other.

Great information here, thanks.

You’ve used some convenient examples…

How about you?

I have no shortage of search terms predicted by Wordtracker that represent less than 40% of the client’s actual traffic. You’ve used some convenient examples but the reality is that Wordtracker in the majority of the cases gives a low predict value.

For example, I have a client that ranks number 1 in the United States for a specific search term. According to Wordtracker, the predict number is 339. My client’s website receives over 578 referrals every day for the term. 85% of that traffic comes from the United States. The client doesn’t at this point doens’t rank well within Australia and the UK so I can only imagine how high that value will climb when she begins to rank high in Google’s other country databases.

Use multiple research tools and don’t rely on the Wordracker predict module. It’s inaccurate.

There is one picture above which shows for which keywords my site was found and with how many searches. It says “Top 100 of 4055 Total Keywords”.

There you see in #1 keyword vacuum cleaners with 5574 searches. The numbers are for 13 days in November so I divided 5574 searches in 13 days and got 429 searches per day for that keyword.

Just wondering how you derived the real daily traffic column for each single keywords since the traffict stats is in page views? Btw did you happen to add up msn + yahoo + google for the keyword real daily traffic?

For e.g you say your real traffic is 429 for vacuum cleaners, was wondering how u managed to sieve out this exact figure.

Thanks
Jerrick

Yes, that’s the AOL data that shares the info. Very useful, thanks for the link!

I went to that link and found their stats were nearly exactly what came up with another article I had booked earlier with a total of 19,434,546 clickthroughs. You can read it here:
http://www.redcardinal.ie/search-engine-optimisation/12-08-2006/clickthrough-analysis-of-aol-datatgz/

The % represents the percentage of visitors that found my site through that keyword. Which means, that 19% of all visitors that my website receives (through Google search!) come from the keyword vacuum cleaners. (11% of all visitors come from the keyword dyson vacuum cleaners and so on)

I haven’t worked out the #2 and lower numbers but here’s a post from Self Made Minds that shows the drop off.

As you’ll see, the #1 spot receives around 42% of all clicks.